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	<title>Cubs Notebook &#187; Curtis Granderson</title>
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		<title>What Can You Get For $140 Million?: Center Field</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million-center-field/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=what-can-you-get-for-140-million-center-field</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Jan 2010 12:01:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brett Gardner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Beltran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jacoby Ellsbury]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kosuke Fukudome]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shane Victorino]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=859</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This series of articles was prompted by my belief that 1) the Cubs, by virtue of being the third highest payroll team in baseball in 2009, should have one of the top players at each position, and 2) the Cubs roster does not compare favorably with the other highest payroll teams. I&#8217;m please that the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This series of articles was prompted by my belief that 1) the Cubs, by virtue of being the third highest payroll team in baseball in 2009, should have one of the top players at each position, and 2) the Cubs roster does not compare favorably with the other highest payroll teams.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m please that the Cubs are one of the top spending teams in the major leagues.  Considering the size of their market and there considerable revenue advantages, they should have one of the top payrolls.  However, I don&#8217;t believe their roster is nearly as good as it can be based on the amount they spend.<span id="more-859"></span>I&#8217;ve been analyzing each position and comparing the player the Cubs have at that position to the players the five other biggest payroll teams have at that position.  To read the previous posts, visit these links:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million/">What Can You Get For $140 Million?</a> (Introduction and Methodology)</li>
<li><a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million-first-base/">What Can You Get For $140 Million?: First Base</a></li>
<li><a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million-second-base/">What Can You Get For $140 Million?: Second Base</a></li>
<li><a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million-shortstop/">What Can You Get For $140 Million?: Shortstop</a></li>
<li><a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million-third-base/">What Can You Get For $140 Million?: Third Base</a></li>
<li><a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million-catcher/">What Can You Get For $140 Million?: Catcher</a></li>
<li><a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-can-you-get-for-140-million-left-field/">What Can You Get For $140 Million?: Left Field</a></li>
</ul>
<p>Today, I&#8217;d like to turn my attention to center field.  The center fielders that we&#8217;ll be looking at are:</p>
<ul>
<li>Brett Gardner (Yankees)</li>
<li>Carlos Beltran (Mets)</li>
<li>Kosuke Fukudome (Cubs)</li>
<li>Curtis Granderson (Tigers)</li>
<li>Shane Victorino (Phillies)</li>
<li>Jacoby Ellsbury (Red Sox)</li>
</ul>
<p>Based on their 2009 salary, this is how they rank:</p>
<ul>
<li>Carlos Beltran ($18.5 million)</li>
<li>Kosuke Fukudome ($11.5 million)</li>
<li>Curtis Granderson ($3.5 million)</li>
<li>Shane Victorino ($3.125 million)</li>
<li>Jacoby Ellsbury ($449,500)</li>
<li>Brett Gardner ($414,000)</li>
</ul>
<p>As we look at these players, there are a couple of things to keep in mind.  First, although Gardner was the opening day center fielder for the Yankees in 2009, Melky Cabrera actually played the bulk of the season in center.  Even so, at the start of the season, Gardner was tops on the depth chart in center for the Yanks.  That&#8217;s why we&#8217;ll be looking at him rather than Cabrera.</p>
<p>Also, even though Fukudome is primarily a right fielder and was signed by the Cubs to play right field, he started the season in center and played the majority of his games there.  So we&#8217;ll be comparing him to the other team&#8217;s center fielders.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s start by taking a look at how these players did in 2008.  Looking back will give us an idea of how they did the year prior to the year we are interested in (2009) and give us some idea of why their team felt they should be their team&#8217;s starting center fielder in 2009.  First, let&#8217;s look at how the players rank based on their 2008 WAR:</p>
<ol>
<li>Carlos Beltran (WAR 6.7)</li>
<li>Shane Victorino (WAR 4.1)</li>
<li>Curtis Granderson (WAR 3.7)</li>
<li>Jacoby Ellsbury (WAR 3.3)</li>
<li>Kosuke Fukudome (WAR 1.8)</li>
<li>Brett Gardner (WAR 1.1)</li>
</ol>
<p>Beltran had a big year for the Mets in 2008.  Victorino also had a good year, helping to lead the Phillies to a World Series Championship. </p>
<p>Fukudome did not have a good year.  As you&#8217;ll recall, 2008 was the Fukudome&#8217;s first year in the U.S. polaying Major League Baseball.  He started out strong, but then faded badly as the season progressed.</p>
<p>Next, let&#8217;s see how the center fielders ranmk based on 2008 OPS+:</p>
<ol>
<li>Carlos Beltran (OPS+ 129)</li>
<li>Curtis Granderson (OPS+ 123)</li>
<li>Shane Victorino (OPS+ 106)</li>
<li>Kosuke Fukudome (OPS+ 89)</li>
<li> Jacoby Ellsbury (OPS+ 87)</li>
<li>Brett Gardner (OPS+ 53)</li>
</ol>
<p>Keep in mind that the &#8220;average&#8221; MLB player has a score of 100.  Anything less than that is considered below average.  In 2008, based on OPS+ (and just about any other measure), Fukudome was below average.</p>
<p>In 2009, this is how the center fieldres ranked based on WAR:</p>
<ol>
<li>Curtis Granderson (WAR 3.4)</li>
<li>Shane Victorino (WAR 3.4)</li>
<li>Carlos Beltran (WAR 2.9)</li>
<li>Kosuke Fukudome (WAR 2.3)</li>
<li>Brett Gardner (WAR 2.1)</li>
<li>Jacoby Ellsbury (WAR 1.9)</li>
</ol>
<p>In 2009, Beltran missed a lot of time due to injuries.  WAR takes into account how often you are in the lineup.  Even so, he was still more valuable than Fukudome.  In fact, Fukudome had 499 at-bats in 2009 compared to 308 ABs for Beltran, yet Beltran was still the more valuable player.</p>
<p>Based on 2009 OPS+, the center fielders ranked like this:</p>
<ol>
<li>Carlos Beltran (OPS+ 143)</li>
<li>Shane Victorino (OPS+ 109)</li>
<li>Kosuke Fukudome (OPS+ 104)</li>
<li>Curtis Granderson (OPS+ 100)</li>
<li>Jacoby Ellsbury (OPS+ 97)</li>
<li>Brett Gardner (OPS+ 93)</li>
</ol>
<p>I was surprised that Fukudome scored as high as he did.  Altough he was just slightly above average, I didn&#8217;t think he&#8217;d even be that high.  I&#8217;m also surprised that Ellsbury didn&#8217;t do better.  I expected him to score higher.  I may have to re-evaluate my belief that the Cubs should try to trade for him.</p>
<p>When all is said and done, this is how I would rank the center fielders:</p>
<ol>
<li>Carlos Beltran (Mets)</li>
<li>Curtis Granderson (Tigers)</li>
<li>Shane Victorino (Phillies)</li>
<li>Kosuke Fukudome (Cubs)</li>
<li>Jacoby Ellsbury (Red Sox)</li>
<li>Brett Gardner (Yankees)</li>
</ol>
<p>Beltran is obviously the class of the field.  When he&#8217;s healthy, he&#8217;s arguably the best center fielder in the game (at least the best hitting).</p>
<p>Granderson and Victorino are a close call.  In the end, I gave the nod to Granderson because of his higher career OPS+ (113 vs. 99), but it could have gone either way.</p>
<p>I ranked Fukudome ahead of Ellsbury based on what they&#8217;ve done over the past two years, but truthfully, I would prefer to have Ellsbury in center field going forward.</p>
<p>Brett Gardner brought up the rear.  The reason this is surprising is that he is the one weak link in the Yankee&#8217;s 2009 opening day starting lineup.  This explains why the Yanks replaced him with Melky Cabrera last year.</p>
<p>When comparing Fukudome against other center fielders, he simply does not match up.  Beltran, Granderson, and Victorino are obviously better players than Fukudome.  Then if you consider other center fielders such as Denard Span (one of my favorites), Torii Hunter, Matt Kemp, Michael Bourne, Franklin Gutierrez, and others, it become clear that Fukudome is not one of the top center fielders in baseball.</p>
<p>Even if you compare Fukudome to right fielders (his normal position), he does not compare favorably.  The Cubs took a chance by signing Fukudome.  I understand their desire to increase their profile internationally, but by just about all accounts, Fukudome has been a bust.</p>
<p><strong>Bottom Line</strong>:  What we&#8217;re trying to determine in this post is whether or not the Cubs have one of the top center fielders in baseball.  I think we showed pretty clearly that they do not.  Fukudome was a highly touted plasyer from Japan and the Cubs took a chance by signing him.  Unfortunately, the risk didn&#8217;t pay off.</p>
<p>I give the Cubs credit for trying something different to improve the ball club.  Unfortunately, Kosuke Fukudome was probably not the right guy to take a chance on.  He&#8217;s been a disappointment during his time with the Cubs and he&#8217;s not the caliber of player that the third highest payroll team in baseball (based on 2009 payroll) should have in the starting line up.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>A Look At The Center Field Market (Part 2 of 2)</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/a-look-at-the-center-field-market-part-2-of-2/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=a-look-at-the-center-field-market-part-2-of-2</link>
		<comments>http://cubsnotebook.com/a-look-at-the-center-field-market-part-2-of-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Dec 2009 13:39:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Rowand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arizona Diamondbacks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Billy Beane]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boston Red Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brett Gardner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Young]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cincinnati Reds]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Cody Ross]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colorado Rockies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Denard Span]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dexter Fowler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Young Jr.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Florida Marlins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gary Matthews Jr.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Grady Sizemore]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Angels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt LaPorte]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melky Cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Cameron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Twins]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=767</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday, in part 1 of this series, I listed the free agent center field candidates that the Cubs may consider this off season.  The free agents are easy to identify because we know specifically who they are.  Trade candidates are a different story.  We don&#8217;t know for sure who is available or what it will [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday, in <a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/a-look-at-the-center-field-market-part-1-of-2/">part 1 of this series</a>, I listed the free agent center field candidates that the Cubs may consider this off season.  The free agents are easy to identify because we know specifically who they are.  Trade candidates are a different story.  We don&#8217;t know for sure who is available or what it will cost to get them.  Even so, let&#8217;s take a look at the center fielders the Cubs might be targeting.</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span id="more-767"></span>Trade Candidates</span></strong></p>
<p><strong>Melky Cabrera</strong> &#8212; After trading for Curtis Granderson, the Yankees suddenly have a surplus of good, young outfielders.  They may be interested in trading either Cabrera or Brett Gardner.  If the Cubs could snag Cabrera, they would be getting a guy that hit .274/.336/.416 for the Yankees in 2009 with 13 homeruns and 68 RBI.   The switch hitting Cabrera is just 25-years old and earned $1.4 million in 2009.  As a fielder, UZR/150 says he&#8217;s just slightly above average, posting a rating of 2.3.  <strong>UPDATE</strong>: <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=4764085">Cabrera has been traded to the Braves</a>, so he&#8217;s now off the board.</p>
<p><strong>Shin-Soo Choo</strong> &#8212; Choo is a 27-year old outfielder from Korea.  Last year with the Indians, Choo hit .300/.394/.489 with 20 homeruns and 86 RBI.  He also had 21 stolen bases and was caught just twice.  It was the best year of his major league career.  He is currently listed as the Indians starting right fielder, but Matt LaPorte is breathing down his neck and Cleveland may be interested in trading him.  Choo has only played a handful of games in center field, but he&#8217;s been an above-average left fielder in his career and an average right fielder, so I&#8217;m assuming he can handle center field.  Choo earned $420,300 in 2009 and is likely due for a raise.</p>
<p><strong>Rajai Davis</strong> &#8212; The Oakland A&#8217;s are stock full of outfielders, potentially making Rajai Davis available.  Davis hit .305/.360/.423 with  3 homeruns and 48 RBI in 390 ABs.  he also had 41 stolen bases and was caught stealing 12 times.  UZR/150 likes Davis, giving him a 17.8 rating in center field in 2009.  The 29-year old davis (he&#8217;s not a kid) earned $410,000 in 2009 and will likely be in line for an increase in 2010.  Jim Hendry and Billy Beane have worked well together on deals in the past.  Might the get together this off season on Davis? </p>
<p><strong>Jacoby Ellsbury</strong> &#8212; Ellsbury could be the odd man out in Boston now that the Red Sox have signed center fielder Mike Cameron.  It&#8217;s unclear where Ellsbury will end up playing or even if he&#8217;ll be starting.  In 2009, Ellsbury hit .301/.355/.415 with 8 homeruns and 60 RBI.  He also stole an impressive 70 bases while getting caught just 12 times.  He&#8217;d look good at the top of the Cubs batting order.  Ellsbury gets gigged for his 2009 UZR/150 rating of  -18.3, but I&#8217;m not buying it.  <a href="http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2009/12/defending_jacob.php">Chris Moore at BaseballAnalysts.com</a> took a look at Ellsbury&#8217;s defense and concluded that UZR/150 probably missed the boat.  Ellsbury is just 26-years old and could fill center field for the Cubs for years to come.  And at just $449,500 per year (his 2009 salary), he&#8217;s a bargain.</p>
<p><strong>Dexter Fowler</strong> &#8212; Fowler is a good looking young ballplayer (I sound like Harry Caray) who hit .266/.363/.406 with 4 homeruns and 34 RBI in 2009 for Colorado.  He&#8217;s just 23-years old and is coming off his rookie season with a lot of promise.  UZR/150 didn&#8217;t like his fielding much, giving him just a -20.3 rating.  Fowler is currently blocked in center field in Colorado by Carlos Gonzalez, another promising youngster.  There&#8217;s no guarantee that Fowler is going to follow up his rookie campaign by continuing to develop, but I think it would be a fairly safe risk for the Cubs, especially considering that he is so inexpensive (he earned just $401,000 2009).</p>
<p><strong>Brett Gardner</strong> &#8212; Who would you take from the Yankees, Melky Cabrera or Brett Gardner?  In 2009, Gardner hit .270/.345/.379 with 3 homeruns, 23 RBI and 26 stolen bases in 248 ABs.  He&#8217;s a terrific center fielder with a career UZR/150 rating of 27.6.  In a crowded Yankees line-up, it&#8217;s tough to say who will be the odd-man out, but it appears to be either Cabrera or Gardner.  Could Gardner be the Cubs center fielder of 2010 and beyond?</p>
<p><strong>Gary Matthews, Jr</strong> &#8212; The Angels badly want to trade Matthews.  Here&#8217;s what the Cubs should consider:  He&#8217;s not much of a hitter anymore, he&#8217;s not a very good fielder anymore, and he&#8217;s very expensive.  Need I say more?</p>
<p><strong>Nyjer Morgan</strong> &#8212; Washington acquired Morgan last year from Pittsburgh.  He put together a good year between the two teams, posting a hitting line of .307/.369/.388 with 3 homeruns and 39 RBI.  He also stole 42 bases in 2009.  Unfortunately for Morgan, he was stealing third base on August 28 against the Cubs when he broke his hand and missed the remainder of the season.  In 2009, Morgan posted an impressive 40.5 UZR/150 rating.  Not only could he handle center field at Wrigley, but he could also be the lead-off hitter that the Cubs sorely need.  But why would Washington trade him?  Good question.  Unfortunately, at this moment, I don&#8217;t have a good answer.  At 29-years old, Morgan is a bit of a late bloomer.  He made just $411,500 in 2009 and is going to be affordable for some time to come.</p>
<p><strong>Cody Ross</strong> &#8212; Ross is not a kid like a lot of the people on this list.  He&#8217;s 29-years old (that&#8217;s not that old) and is a bit more of a known quantity than some of the other trade candidates.  What we know is that he hit .270/.321/.484 with 24 homeruns and 90 RBI in 2009 for Florida.  We also know that 2009 was the best year of Ross&#8217; career.  But to be fair, Ross has been coming on strong since 2007.  He primarily plays center field, although he also spent time in right field and is currently listed as the Marlins starting right fielder.  In center field, Ross had a UZR/150 rating of -9.5 in 2009.  Ross earned $2.225 million in 2009 and accepted arbitration for 2010.</p>
<p><strong>Aaron Rowand</strong> &#8212; San Francisco would like to move Rowand&#8217;s contract.  In 2009, the 32-year old center fielder hit .261/.319/.419 with 15 homeruns and 64 RBI.  He had a 1.5 UZR/150 rating and he earned $8 million on a contract that runs through 2012.  He is still owed $36 million.  The Cubs don&#8217;t need to bring in an aging outfielder who is on the down-side of his career and making a lot of money.  Although I like Aaron Rowand, I don&#8217;t think he is the answer in center field.</p>
<p><strong>Grady Sizemore</strong> &#8212; To be honest, I don&#8217;t think the Indians have any interest in trading Sizemore, but I saw him on another list, so I thought I&#8217;d include him.  In 2009, Sizemore hit .248/.338/.445 with 18 homeruns and 64 RBI in what by Sizemore standards was a down year.  Sizemore is signed through 2011 and is owed $13.1 million.  His contract also includes an $8.5 million option in 2012 with a $500,000 buyout.  Sizemore had a -4.0 UZR/150 rating in 2009, but he has a career UZR/150 of 5.4.  I don&#8217;t think it matters.  He&#8217;s not going anywhere.</p>
<p><strong>Denard Span</strong> &#8212; Would Minnesota be willing to trade Denard Span?  If so, the Cubs need to get to the front of the line.  In 2009,  the 25-year old Span hit .311/.392/.432 with 8 homeruns and 68 RBI.  And he did it for a cheap $435,000.  UZR/150 gave him a fielding rating of -7.4, but from everything I&#8217;ve read, he does a fine job in center field.  He has emerged as one of the top lead-off hitters in baseball and would be a good long-term investment for the Cubs.</p>
<p><strong>Willy Taveras</strong> &#8212; I&#8217;m pretty sure that the Cubs could convince the Reds to trade Taveras for a couple of prospects.  Cincinnati badly needs to cut payroll and the weak hitting Taveras is owed $4 million in 2010.  Trading for Taveras would not be a good move.</p>
<p><strong>Vernon Wells</strong> &#8212; Okay, I don&#8217;t think the Cubs should trade for him and his monster contract either, but I thought he should be listed anyway because he&#8217;s available.  I don&#8217;t know if you&#8217;ve heard, but Wells makes a lot of money.</p>
<p><strong>Chris Young</strong> &#8212; Young is a 26-year old center fielder for Arizona.  He hit .212/.311/.400 in 2009 with 15 homeruns and 42 RBI.  His UZR/150 rating for 2009 was -9.8.  I&#8217;m not as high on Young as some people are.  I do think he has potential, but I&#8217;m not convinced he&#8217;s ever going to realize that potential.  He&#8217;s signed through 2013 and is owed $26.25 million over the next four years.  The contract also includes a club option for 2014 for $11 million with a $1.5 million buyout.  Although I included him in this list, my hope is that the Cubs don&#8217;t pursue him.</p>
<p><strong>Eric Young, Jr.</strong> &#8211; The 24-year old Young is an interesting player for the Cubs.  He plays both second base and center field (just like his dad).  As it turns out, the Cubs need to fill both positions.  At the moment, Young is a reserve for Colorado, but he appears to be ready for prime time.  He only played in 30 games in 2009, and is eligible for Rookie of the Year in 2010.   Trading for Young would be a bit of a risk.  Does he have what it takes to be an all-star caliber big leaguer?</p>
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		<title>A Busy Off Season&#8230;Except For The Cubs</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/a-busy-off-season-except-for-the-cubs/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=a-busy-off-season-except-for-the-cubs</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Dec 2009 13:37:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Tom Rickets]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=736</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been a busy couple of days.  Free agent pitcher John Lackey signed with Boston, center fielder Mike Cameron will be joining him in Boston, Roy Halladay was traded to Philadelphia, Cliff Lee is moving to Seattle and several prospects will be finding new homes.  Yes indeed, it&#8217;s been a couple of busy days&#8230;for everyone except [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s been a busy couple of days.  Free agent pitcher John Lackey signed with Boston, center fielder Mike Cameron will be joining him in Boston, Roy Halladay was traded to Philadelphia, Cliff Lee is moving to Seattle and several prospects will be finding new homes.  Yes indeed, it&#8217;s been a couple of busy days&#8230;for everyone except the Cubs.</p>
<p><span id="more-736"></span>It stinks watching everyone else making deals while the Cubs sit on the sidelines.  The White Sox continued their off season shopping by trading a couple of prospects to the Dodgers for Juan Pierre.  The Dodgers were even good enough to throw in $10 million of the $18 million owed to Pierre over the next two years.</p>
<p>St. Louis made a five-year offer to Matt Holliday at a reported $16 &#8211; $18 million per year.  I think that&#8217;s crazy money, and in a way I hope Holliday accepts the offer because I think it will cripple the Cardinals financially for years to come, but it&#8217;s frustrating to see the Cubs division rival chasing one of the biggest free agents while the Cubs sit back and wait for something to happen.</p>
<p>For the Cubs, the story is the same as it was last week, and the week before that: they need to trade Milton Bradley before they can do anything else.  Actually, that&#8217;s not quite acurrate.  They have chosen to wait until Bradley is traded to make any moves. </p>
<p>Quite honestly, I&#8217;m starting to blame Tom Ricketts for the Cubs hesitancy to do anything.  When Ricketts decided to hold the line on payroll (actually, I believe he allowed for a &#8220;slight&#8221; increase), he tied Jim Hendry&#8217;s hands from doing anything to improve the ball club. </p>
<p>First, very few contracts came off the books at the end of 2009.  The only players to leave the Cubs because their contracts were up were Rich Harden, Kevin Gregg, and Reed Johnson.  After losing those players, and then accounting for increases via arbitration, the Cubs payroll is in the neighborhood of $135 million (It&#8217;s hard to know exactly where it is because it&#8217;s unclear right now what the arbitration-eligible players will receive, as well as those that will be tendered contracts).  That doesn&#8217;t leave much money to make any moves if the magic payroll number is $140-$145 million.</p>
<p>Then there&#8217;s Milton Bradley.  It&#8217;s unclear how much the Cubs are going to have to spend to get rid of Bradley.  The Dodgers spent $10 million to move Pierre and the Red Sox are rumored to be willing to eat $9 million (of a $12 million contract) to move Mike Lowell (the trade with Texas is currently on hold).  Both of those guys are decent players who are considered good clubhouse guys.  So if their respective teams are/will pay so much money to trade them, how much will it cost the Cubs to move a malcontent like Bradley coming of a sub-par year?</p>
<p>Assuming it&#8217;s going to cost the Cubs $10 million just to move Bradley (and that may be conservative), wouldn&#8217;t the Cubs be better off exchanging another team&#8217;s bad contract for Bradley?  It may cost them more dollars in the long run, but they may actually get a valuable piece back in return.</p>
<p>In a previous post, I argued the case for a <a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/why-not-trade-milton-bradley-to-the-braves/">Bradley-for-Derek-Lowe trade</a> with Atlanta.  The Braves are looking for a corner outfielder and they need to trim payroll.  Lowe is their biggest contract and most expendable player.  Over the next three years, he&#8217;s going to cost $45 million.  It would cost the Cubs $24 million more to trade for Lowe than they are scheduled to pay Bradley, and Lowe will be around a year longer (two more years for Bradley vs. three years for Lowe), but isn&#8217;t that better than handing someone $10 million or more just to take Bradley off the Cubs&#8217; hands?  It seems like a win-win to me.</p>
<p>Granted, whoever takes Bradley (assuming someone actually does) is going to have to find a way to integrate him into their team and control (or at least contain) his behavior.  But in exchange for that, if the deal is with Atlanta, they&#8217;ll save $24 million dollars and clear the other $21 million owed to Bradley off their books a year sooner than they would with Derek Lowe.  I know Milton Bradley is a pain in the butt, but couldn&#8217;t the Braves learn to live with him for $24 million?</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>With Curtis Granderson now a Yankee and Mike Cameron signed by Boston, the Cubs now turn their attention to Marlon Byrd, Rick Ankiel, Coco Crisp, and Reed Johnson.  <a href="http://twitter.com/CarrieMuskat/statuses/6710811129">Carrie Muskat of MLB.com</a> says that Byrd is the Cubs&#8217; first choice, but honestly, is he the best answer for center field? </p>
<p>Granderson would have been a terrific &#8220;get&#8221; for the Cubs.  He&#8217;s a power hitting, middle-of-the-order bat that they need, and his clubhouse presence would be a breath of fresh air after a year of Milton Bradley.  Of course, that&#8217;s a moot point now.</p>
<p>Of the free agent center fielders, Mike Cameron was the class of the field.  He&#8217;s not the offensive presence that Granderson is, but he&#8217;s sufficient and he plays a good center field.  But again, he&#8217;s gone, so no use crying over spilled milk.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, the quality falls off quite a bit from Cameron to the trio of Byrd/Ankiel/Crisp.  But here&#8217;s the thing: while any of that group will cost several million dollars, the Cubs can probably get the same or better production from any combination of Sam Fuld, Reed Johnson and recently released Ryan Church (can he still play center?).  Johnny Gomes is another interesting name hanging out there.  He&#8217;d probably have to play right field, but Fukudome could move back over to center as part of a platoon/position swap.</p>
<p>At this point, I can&#8217;t tell you what the answer is, at least as far as putting a name(s) to the problem, but I can tell you what the answer isn&#8217;t, and that&#8217;s signing Byrd, Ankiel, or Crisp.  They&#8217;re all different types of players, but none of them are the answer the Cubs are looking for.  They are either too expensive, a 4th outfielder, too weak offensively, or a combination of these things.</p>
<p>Jim Hendry waited too long to make a move, but now that he&#8217;s waited this long, he might as well wait longer to see if there are any free agent deals or trades available later in the off season.  The current options just don&#8217;t get the job done.</p>
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		<title>Cubs Winter Meetings: Day 2 Recap</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/cubs-winter-meetings-day-2-recap/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=cubs-winter-meetings-day-2-recap</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Dec 2009 13:42:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Rios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Billy Wagner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago White Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Johnny Damon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Magglio Ordonez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melky Cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Bradley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Yankees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ozzie Guillen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Gammons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seattle Mariners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Takashi Saito]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tampa Bay Rays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Texas Rangers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Toronto Blue Jays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Winter Meetings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=715</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Milton Bradley rumors were heating up throughout the day on Tuesday.  According to Bruce Miles at the Daily Herald, a deal is not imminent, but they are getting closer. Others were more optimistic about a deal getting done soon.  Bruce Levine of ESPN Chicago wrote that the Cubs were on the verge of making [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Milton Bradley rumors were heating up throughout the day on Tuesday.  According to <a href="http://blogs.dailyherald.com/node/3045">Bruce Miles at the Daily Herald</a>, a deal is not imminent, but they are getting closer.</p>
<p>Others were more optimistic about a deal getting done soon.  <a href="http://espn.go.com/chicago/columns/blog/_/post/4725304/name/levine">Bruce Levine of ESPN Chicago</a> wrote that the Cubs were on the verge of making a deal and that it could be announced as early as Tuesday.  Of course, Tuesday came and went without any news, but a team source told Bruce Miles that an announcement could come Wednesday.</p>
<p><span id="more-715"></span>Jim Hendry and his deputies are being extremely tight lipped about what teams he&#8217;s talking to.  <a href="http://muskat.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/12/128_the_latest_on_milton.html">Carrie Muskat of MLB.com</a> said that Hendry is talking to an AL team, but that it&#8217;s not either Tampa Bay nor Texas.  Later in the day, she Tweeted that is was <a href="http://twitter.com/CarrieMuskat/status/6478531566">neither Seattle nor Toronto</a>.  At this point, we don&#8217;t know who the mystery team might be.  All we know is who it is not.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/1927644,milton-bradley-cubs-trade-08.article">Gordon Wittenmyer of the Sun-Times</a> also lists a mystery team and says that the deal could involve the Cubs receiving a player that they will then have to flip.  Sound familiar?  Wittenmyer confirms that  the deal does not involve the Rays or Rangers.  This is a different rumor than we&#8217;ve heard before.</p>
<p>Tomorrow is the final day of the Winter Meetings.  Could a deal be announced tomorrow.  Let&#8217;s keep our fingers crossed.  The Milton Bradley soap opera has already dragged on too long.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>Let me change gears a little bit right now and get a little angry.  I&#8217;m going to have to manufacture a little anger because, the truth is, I&#8217;m really not angry.  But I feel like I should be.</p>
<p>You see, Curtis Granderson, probably the best fit to play center field for the Cubs next year, was traded today by the Tigers to the New York Yankes (<a href="http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2009/12/granderson-to-yanks-edwin-jackson-to-dbacks.html">MLBTradeRumors.com</a> has the complete story on the three-team trade).  While the Cubs screwed around trying to trade a guy they should have never signed in the first place, other teams made deals, improved their teams, and got themselves ready for 2010.  The Cubs just did a lot of talking.</p>
<p>The Cubs have a few needs they must address this off season, but everything is on hold until they can trade Bradley.  So far, they have lost out on Billy Wagner.  They&#8217;ve lost out on Takashi Saito, and today they lost out on Curtis Granderson.  I don&#8217;t know if they could have signed/traded for any of these players.  What I do know is that all three could have filled a need for the Cubs.  I also know that all three are now off the board.   Whether or not the Cubs would have acquired any of the three is not the point.  The point is that they couldn&#8217;t even get involved on any of them (whether they wanted to or not) because their hands are tied.</p>
<p>Okay, now for a little reality.  I know that Jim Hendry is in a tough position (at least partially of his own making).  The Milton Bradley &#8220;situation&#8221; is a little complicated and it&#8217;s going to take some hard work, creativity, and time to get it figured out.  It sucks that the Bradley is tying the Cubs hands, but that&#8217;s the reality of the situation.  Getting angry doesn&#8217;t help.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m hopeful that Hendry and crew can get a deal done today before the Meetings end.  There&#8217;s a window of opportunity here that is closing quickly.  After the meetings, it&#8217;s harder to catch up with other GMs and be able to sit down with them at a moment&#8217;s notice.  Obviously, deals can be done outside the Winter Meetings.  It happens all of the time.  But the Meetings do provide a once-a-year opportunity that the Cubs need to use to their advantage.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>Does the trade of Curtis Granderson to the Yankees open up any opportunities for the Cubs?  Perhaps.  For instance, what are the Yankees going to do with switch-hitting center fielder Melky Cabrera now?  Is he expendable?  Could he be a fit for the Cubs?  What would the Cubs need to give up to get him?</p>
<p>What about Johnny Damon?  It&#8217;s been suggested that trading for Granderson makes it less likely that the Yankees will re-sign Damon.  If so, could Damon be a fit for the Cubs?  Can he still play center field?  Can the Cubs afford him?  Might Damon be the lead-off hitter the Cubs are looking for.</p>
<p>Now that Detroit has traded Granderson, might they be open to a Milton Bradley for Magglio Ordonez swap?  Detroit reportedly needs to dump some salary.  Ordonez is owed $18 million in 2010 with a club (vesting) option in 2011 for $15 million.  He can&#8217;t play center field, but he can still hit.  Is Detroit the mystery team all of the writers were talking about?</p>
<p>These are just some random thoughts brought on by the Granderson trade.  As they say, when one door closes, another one opens.  Has another door opened for the Cubs?</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a random rumor with absolutely no factual basis.  I found it on another blog, but thought it was interesting enough to share here.</p>
<p>Could the mystery AL team be the White Sox?  And could a deal that would send Bradley to the Southside bring Alex Rios to the Northside?</p>
<p>This deal may not be as far fetched as you might think.  Rios is owed $58.7 million between 2010 &#8211; 2014.  He also has a club option for 2015 for $13.5 million with a $1 million buyout.  Rios brings a relatively similar skill set to Bradley&#8217;s, but without the headaches.  Of course, his contract is for three guaranteed years more than Bradley, so the Cubs are committing much more money long term to Rios.  However, it could be argued that the Cubs would be better off paying more money long-term to have a servicable player than they would be to simply pay another team several million just to take Bradley off their hands.</p>
<p>Ozzie Guillen is said not to be too fond of Rios.  The White Sox are looking for a DH who can also play in the field.  At least in theory, the two teams seem to match up. </p>
<p>Can you imagine Ozzie Guillen trying to deal with Bradley?  It could potentially be hilarious.  Of course, <em>IF</em> they can make it work, and <em>IF</em> Bradley can return to his 2008 form, the White Sox could really rub it in the Cubs faces.  And we all know they would love to do that.</p>
<p>At the moment, this trade rumor is nothing but speculation.  But isn&#8217;t it fun to dream this stuff up and then try to figure how to get it done?</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>ESPN announced that the Dalai Lama of baseball, <a href="http://www.espnmediazone3.com/us/2009/12/gammons-ends-hall-of-fame-run-with-espn/">Peter Gammons, will be leaving the network</a> following the Winter Meetings.  I have the utmost respect for Gammons and love to hear his thoughts on all things baseball (and music).  It&#8217;s true that he is far too often Red Sox-centric (with a little Yankees news thrown in for good measure), but he&#8217;s so good, it&#8217;s easy to forgive him.</p>
<p>The announcement from ESPN simply said that Gammons will be pursuing &#8220;new endevors.&#8221;  I&#8217;m not sure what that means, but I&#8217;ve heard that he&#8217;ll be joining the MLB Network.  Whatever he does, I&#8217;m sure he&#8217;ll do great.</p>
<p><strong>UPDATE</strong>:  <a href="http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20091208&amp;content_id=7778584&amp;vkey=news_mlb&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;c_id=mlb">MLB.com</a> is reporting that Peter Gammons will be joining both MLB.com and the MLB Network to be an on-air and online analyst.  Gammons will also be working with NESN, the New England-based network that broadcasts the Red Sox games.  The move will presumably allow Gammons to contine to do the work he loves while spending more time at his homes in Boston and Cape Cod.</p>
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		<title>The Calm Before The Storm</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/the-calm-before-the-storm/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-calm-before-the-storm</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Dec 2009 17:10:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Hendry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Millwood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lou Piniella]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marlon Byrd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Cameron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Bradley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pat Burrell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rick Ankiel]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Winter Meetings]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=703</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jim Hendry, Lou Piniella, and the rest of the Cubs front office are heading to Indianapolis to attend the Winter Meetings that start Monday.  Things are quiet today, but the Winter Meetings promise to be full of action. Before the Cubs can concentrate on filling their most pressing needs, they first must trade troubled outfielder [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jim Hendry, Lou Piniella, and the rest of the Cubs front office are heading to Indianapolis to attend the Winter Meetings that start Monday.  Things are quiet today, but the Winter Meetings promise to be full of action.</p>
<p><span id="more-703"></span>Before the Cubs can concentrate on filling their most pressing needs, they first must trade troubled outfielder Milton Bradley.  According to <a href="http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/chi-06-cubs-chicago-dec06,0,5063743.story">Paul Sullivan of the Tribune</a>, the Rangers and Rays remain the most likely trade partners for the Cubs. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s unclear who the Cubs would get in return from the Rangers, but recent reports indicate that it could be RHP Kevin Millwood.  Of course, reports also indicate that the Cubs may have to pay $16 million of the $21 million still owed to Bradley in a trade with Texas.  According to <a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/10357594">Ken Rosenthal and Jon Morosi of FoxSports.com</a>, at the moment, the amount the Cubs are offering to send to the Rangers along with Milton Bradley is inadequate.  Could $16 million really be inadequate?</p>
<p>In a trade with the Rays, the Cubs would likely receive Pat Burrell, but would then likely have to turn around and trade him.  For this reason, a three-team trade makes sense so the Cubs don&#8217;t have to take the risk of trading Bradley for Burrell and then being stuck with Burrell.  At the moment, according to the FoxSports.com duo, money is currently the stumbling block in a trade with the Rays.</p>
<p>Here are a few things to watch for at the Winter Meetings:</p>
<ul>
<li>Will another team enter the picture in a trade involving Bradley?</li>
<li>Will Detroit be in the mood to discuss a trade of Curtis Granderson?  If so, will the Cubs be involved in the conversation.</li>
<li>If Granderson is out of the picture, will the Cubs make a move to sign Mike Cameron, Marlon Byrd, or Rick Ankiel?</li>
<li>Can Hendry find a way to add a middle of the rotation arm at a reasonable price?</li>
<li>Will the Cubs make a move affecting their bullpen, or is the pen set for next year?</li>
</ul>
<p>The Winter Meetings should be exciting.  I&#8217;m looking forward to it.</p>
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		<title>Cubs Prepare For Winter Meetings</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Dec 2009 16:34:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Miles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Rowand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Atlanta Braves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dave Dombrowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Derek Lowe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dtroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jake Fox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Baker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Gray]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Hendry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Castillo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marlon Byrd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Cameron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Bradley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Mets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rudy Jaramillo]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=700</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Winter Meetings start next week in Indianapolis and job one for Jim Hendry and his minions is to trade Milton Bradley.  According to Carrie Muskat of MLB.com, there are three teams interested in Bradley.  Unfortunately, Muskat never says who the three teams might be. We know (or think we know) that Tampa Bay is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Winter Meetings start next week in Indianapolis and job one for Jim Hendry and his minions is to trade Milton Bradley.  According to <a href="http://muskat.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/12/124_looking_ahead_to_indy.html">Carrie Muskat of MLB.com</a>, there are three teams interested in Bradley.  Unfortunately, Muskat never says who the three teams might be.</p>
<p><span id="more-700"></span>We know (or think we know) that Tampa Bay is one of the three teams.  Is Texas one?  The Rangers were linked to a possible Bradley trade, but only if the Cubs kicked in about $16 million.  Even after those reports, it was reported that Texas was out of the running because they still couldn&#8217;t afford Bradley.  Texas is apparently in receivership and can not make any roster moves without the approval of MLB.</p>
<p>Because Carrie didn&#8217;t bother to name the three teams interested in Bradley, I&#8217;m going to guess that Texas is one of them.  So who&#8217;s the third?</p>
<p>Could it be the Giants?  I&#8217;m still hoping for an Aaron Rowand for Bradley trade.  No, I don&#8217;t think Rowand is the perfect center fielder.  Far from it.  I just think he is the best player the Cubs can get for Bradley without having to pay someone a lot of money to take him.</p>
<p>Maybe the Braves are the third team.  I mentioned a possible <a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/cubs-decline-to-offer-harden-arbitration/">Bradley for Derek Lowe trade</a> previously.   You can never have too much pitching and Lowe would be a nice (albeit, expensive) addition to the rotation.</p>
<p>Are the Mets interested?  I doubt it, but they do want to move Luis Castillo and the Cubs need a second baseman.  Even so, I don&#8217;t think the Mets are interested and Bradley would definitely not survive in New York.</p>
<p>Who else might have an answer?  Hard to tell at this point, but we should know more next week.  Next time, it would be a lot easier if Muskat just told us.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>While in Indy, Hendry will be shopping for a centerfielder, a right handed reliever, and a right handed bat off the bench who can play the outfield.  That, according to our friend <a href="http://muskat.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/12/124_looking_ahead_to_indy.html">Carrie Muskat of MLB.com</a>.  But wait, what about a second baseman.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve noticed this recently that when writers list the Cubs&#8217; needs, they don&#8217;t include a second baseman any more.  I don&#8217;t know if this is coming from the Cubs front office or if the writers are just making it up.  At the moment, it looks like Jeff Baker is the front runner to play second base, assuming Hendry doesn&#8217;t sign a free agent second baseman or trade for one.  That doesn&#8217;t seem like such a great plan to me.</p>
<p>Also, I&#8217;m guessing that Jeff Gray (obtained from Oakland in the Jake Fox/Aaron Miles trade) will serve as the right handed reliever.  So the bullpen is probably complete.</p>
<p>That leaves a center fielder and a right handed bench bat that can play the outfield.  Curtis Granderson rumors are still floating around.  He would be a good fit for the Cubs, so I&#8217;m sure Hendry and Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski will be talking in Indy. </p>
<p>Mike Cameron is a potential free agent signing, provided he&#8217;ll sign a reasonable one-year contract.  Other teams also have an interest in Cameron, so his price may rise out of the Cubs price range.</p>
<p>Marlon Byrd is another name that is being linked to the Cubs.  Even though he had a career year last year with the help of hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo when both were with the Rangers, that doesn&#8217;t mean he&#8217;ll repeat it in the future.  I hope the Cubs pass on Byrd.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know who the Cubs might target to be the right handed bench bat who can also play center field, but didn&#8217;t they just trade away a guy (Jake Fox) who can fill that need?  Okay, Fox wasn&#8217;t the greated fielder, but he can hit. </p>
<p>Trade activity at this year&#8217;s Winter Meetings is supposed to be hot and heavy.  Let&#8217;s hope Bradley is moved early in the meetings so Hendry can concentrate on some of the team&#8217;s other needs.</p>
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		<title>Cubs Off Season Hinges On Bradley Trade</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Nov 2009 17:51:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coco Crisp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darwin Barney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evan Longoria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gordon Beckham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hak-Ju Lee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jake Fox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Hendry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lou Piniella]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Castillo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marlon Byrd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Micah Hoffpauir]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Cameron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Bradley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Mets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pat Burrell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rick Ankiel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rudy Jaramillo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Theriot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Boras]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Podsednik]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Starlin Castro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tampa Bay Rays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Texas Rangers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=676</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think we all knew it all ready, but Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of FoxSports.com have said out loud what we&#8217;ve all been thinking.  According to the FoxSports Dynamic Duo: &#8220;The Cubs&#8217; offseason truly will kick off only after they trade outfielder Milton Bradley. Only then can they begin, in earnest, their pursuit [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think we all knew it all ready, but <a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/10357594">Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of FoxSports.com</a> have said out loud what we&#8217;ve all been thinking.  According to the FoxSports Dynamic Duo:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;The Cubs&#8217; offseason truly will kick off only after they trade outfielder Milton Bradley. Only then can they begin, in earnest, their pursuit of a center fielder.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-676"></span>While it&#8217;s true that I&#8217;ve <a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/what-if-the-cubs-cant-trade-milton-bradley/">made this same comment several times</a> on this very blog, it carries a bit more weight when the boys from Fox put it in print.</p>
<p>Rosenthal and Morosi (Why does it take two of them to write this stuff?) go on to say that the Cubs are showing an interest in center fielders Curtis Granderson, Rick Ankiel, Scott Podsednik, Coco Crisp, Marlon Byrd, and Mike Cameron.  Of the bunch, Granderson is by far my first choice.  Ankiel interests me, but he&#8217;s represented by Scott Boras so will probably come with a high price tag.  Mike Cameron would be okay, provided he doesn&#8217;t cost too much money or too many years.</p>
<p>I like Podsednik more than most people, but even I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;s the answer for the Cubs.  Coco Crisp&#8230;No.  Marlon Byrd is over-rated, but I&#8217;m afraid the Cubs will look at his career year last year, and the fact that he worked with Cubs new hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo to accomplish it, and place too high a value on the former Rangers center fielder.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>The headline of the <a href="http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/chi-27-cubs-starlin-castro-nov27,0,4875326.story">Trib&#8217;s Paul Sullivan</a> is &#8220;The Cubs Aren&#8217;t Going to Rush Starlin Castro,&#8221; but the article itself talks all about why Castro might break with the team come next April.  Sullivan says:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;It&#8217;s a long shot, considering Castro began the season in Class A last April and doesn&#8217;t turn 20 until March 24. But the Cubs are so sold on his future that they already have told incumbent shortstop <a id="PESPT004676" title="Ryan Theriot" href="http://cubsnotebook.com/topic/sports/baseball/ryan-theriot-PESPT004676.topic">Ryan Theriot</a> he might move to second base in the not-so-distant future.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>He then goes on to say that the Cubs will rely heavily on Rudy Jaramillo&#8217;s opinion of the readiness of the young shortstop.  Sullivan then talks about the trend around MLB of quickly bringing up prospects.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Experience may work against him, but some teams are bringing up prospects they deem ready at a quicker-than-usual pace, as evidenced by the comet-like ascensions of the <a id="ORSPT000167" title="Chicago White Sox" href="http://cubsnotebook.com/topic/sports/baseball/chicago-white-sox-ORSPT000167.topic">White Sox</a>&#8216;s Gordon Beckham and the Rays&#8217; Evan Longoria. The Sox called up Beckham, the No. 8 pick of the 2008 draft, after only 205 combined at-bats at Class A and Double A and 28 at Triple-A Charlotte.</p>
<p>&#8220;Hendry agreed the trend is growing, citing the reduction of college baseball scholarships and improved scouting in places such as the Dominican Republic and Venezuela. The best players are identified earlier and separate themselves from the pack faster, Hendry said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Beckham at a young age, with the maturity level he has shown, his (success) certainly bodes well for not only himself, but for others,&#8221; he said. &#8220;It shows the outstanding guys can do it, and make it in a short period of time.&#8217;&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Rather than explaining why Castro won&#8217;t be rushed, it sounds to me like both Sullivan and Cubs GM Jim Hendry are trying to lay the groundwork for promoting Castro to the big team.  In fact, later in the article, Sullivan includes a quote from Hendry indicating that he has already spoken to Ryan Theriot about moving to second base to accomodate Castro and that Theriot is accepting of the idea.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t want to see Castro rushed.  He&#8217;s only 19 years old (he&#8217;ll turn 20 on March 24, 2010.  Be sure to send a card.).  But if he is ready and if he can help make the Cubs a better team, then sure, why not give him a shot?  If he flounders, he can always be sent to Class AAA Iowa for more seasoning.  It will be a tough call for Hendry and company.</p>
<p>The part about the article that bothered me was:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Over the last eight months, Castro has gone from unheralded to untouchable. The Cubs like him so much, it&#8217;s believed they will refuse to discuss him in any offseason trade talk, even for a hot commodity such as Tigers center fielder Curtis Granderson. Hendry, Jaramillo and manager <a id="PESPT008480" title="Lou Piniella" href="http://cubsnotebook.com/topic/sports/baseball/lou-piniella-PESPT008480.topic">Lou Piniella</a> are eager to see what Castro can do in Cactus League play in March, when media and fan scrutiny is certain to be magnified.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I hope this isn&#8217;t true.  Castro is highly regarded and has a lot of potential, but he is not a sure-fire, can&#8217;t miss major leaguer.  If trading Castro can make the Cubs better, then he should be traded.  Making him (or just about any other prospect) &#8220;untouchable&#8221; doesn&#8217;t make sense.</p>
<p>Of course, this may be a moot point.  Cubs SS prospect Darwin Barney is more polished than Castro and is on-the-verge of being ready for a major league job.  The Cubs also have SS prospect Hak-Ju Lee who is behind Castro in being ready for the big leagues, but displays more speed and hitting ability for his age.  If the Cubs are going to make a trade involving a shortstop prospect, other teams may find Barney or Lee just as or more appealing than Castro.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>Remember the <a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/curtis-granderson-rumors-heating-up/">rumored three-way trade </a>that would have sent Milton Bradley to Tampa Bay, Pat Burrell to the Mets, and Luis Castillo to the Cubs?  As I was eating my Thanksgiving turkey, I suddenly thought, &#8220;why would the Mets want to do this deal?&#8221;</p>
<p>We already know that the Mets want to move Luis Castillo, but why would the want to get Pat Burrell and his $9 million contract in return?  Burrell is no longer an outfielder, and I remember reading one report that said that the Mets would use Burrell at first base.  On the surface, that make sense because the team is in need of a first baseman, but why Burrell?</p>
<p>Couldn&#8217;t the Mets find someone just as good or better than Burrell at a much lower price?  There&#8217;s no shortage of young, decent first basemen available.  In fact, if the Mets wanted to make a deal with the Cubs, wouldn&#8217;t it make more sense for them to concentrate on Jake Fox or Micah Hoffpauir than it would to try to acquire Pat Burrell? </p>
<p>True, the Cubs may be reluctant to take on Castillo&#8217;s contract without also getting rid of Bradley, but it is equally true that the Cubs need a second baseman and Jake Fox is out of minor league options (not to mention that he really doesn&#8217;t have a future with the Cubs).  Even if the Cubs wouldn&#8217;t make the deal, there are plenty of young first basemen out there that could do as good of a job as Pat Berrell without the hefty contract.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not going to waste any more time trying to figure out the Mets woes.  The Cubs have more than enough troubles to keep me busy.  However, I think I&#8217;m going to move the rumored three-way trade to the &#8220;very doubtful&#8221; category.</p>
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		<title>Cubs Involved In Several Trade Rumors</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/cubs-involved-in-several-trade-rumors/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=cubs-involved-in-several-trade-rumors</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Nov 2009 18:42:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Marmol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Zambrano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Hendry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Grabow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Millwood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Castillo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Derosa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marlon Byrd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Holliday]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Cameron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Bradley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Mets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roy Halladay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rudy Jaramillo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Dempster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Starlin Castro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ted Lilly]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Texas Rangers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Toronto Blue Jays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yuniesky Betancourt]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=660</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Cubs have been involved to one extent or another in several trade rumors so far this off season.  The most persistent rumors revolve around trading Milton Bradley.  Last week, Chicago Tribune columnist Phil Rogers wrote on ChicagoBreakingSports.com that the Cubs were involved in discussions over a three way trade that would send Bradley to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Cubs have been involved to one extent or another in several trade rumors so far this off season.  The most persistent rumors revolve around trading Milton Bradley. </p>
<p>Last week, Chicago Tribune columnist <a href="http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/11/cubs-explore-bradley-deal-that-would-net-castillo.html">Phil Rogers wrote on ChicagoBreakingSports.com</a> that the Cubs were involved in discussions over a three way trade that would send Bradley to Texas, Kevin Millwood to the Mets and Luis Castillo to the Cubs.  I&#8217;m not sure who Rogers&#8217; source was for this rumor (assuming he actually had a source), but officials with both the <a href="http://hotstove.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/11/1120_cubs_milton_bradley.html">Cubs and Rangers immediately shot down the rumor</a>.</p>
<p><span id="more-660"></span>Another rumor had the Blue Jays contacting the Cubs to drum up interest in Roy Halladay.  <a href="http://hotstove.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/11/1120_cubs_blue_jays_talk_re_ha.html">Carrie Muskat of MLB.com</a> basically dismissed the possibility of Halladay joining the Cubs, saying:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;However, before Cubs fans start salivating at the prospect of the former Cy Young winner in the rotation with Ted Lilly, Carlos Zambrano, and Ryan Dempster, there&#8217;s a catch. He&#8217;s owed $15.75 million in 2010, and the Blue Jays want some of the Cubs&#8217; top prospects. No. 1, the team can&#8217;t take on Halladay&#8217;s salary. The Blue Jays apparently have a wish list and Milton Bradley is not on it. A player like highly regarded shortstop Starlin Castro most likely is, and the Cubs don&#8217;t want to part with him, especially since they might only have Halladay for one year.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;m no hotshot reporter for MLB.com, but that seems like some pretty weak logic to me.  Muskat doesn&#8217;t have any idea how a potential trade would be structured, so she has no way of knowing if the Cubs would be adding the $15.75 million owed to Halladay to their current payroll.  What if the deal was Carlos Zambrano for Halladay with no money changing hands?  The Cubs would actually save money in that transaction.</p>
<p>As for not wanting to trade Starlin Castro to acquire Halladay, the Cubs would be foolish to make Castro untouchable in such a trade.  Castro looks very promising.  If everything works out, he&#8217;ll be the Cubs shortstop in the near future and perhaps for years to come.  Maybe.  We can&#8217;t be sure how Castro is going to develop.  What we do know is that Halladay is a legitimate staff ace.  He&#8217;s proven himself in arguably the toughest division in baseball.  Allowing Castro&#8217;s potential to stand in the way of acquiring the sure thing that is Roy Halladay just doesn&#8217;t make sense.</p>
<p>And the thing that really bothers mre about Muskat&#8217;s statement is that she is speaking for the Cubs.  How does she know that the Cubs don&#8217;t want to trade Castro?  Has she discussed it with Jim Hendry?  If so, did he say the Cubs don&#8217;t want to trade Castro?  Did he say Castro is untouchable?  Did he say any of this in relation to a potential trade for Roy Halladay?  I&#8217;ll bet the Cubs would not be willing to trade Castro to acquire Yuniesky Betancourt,  but a trade for Halladay is a completely different story.</p>
<p>Finally, Muskat says if the Cubs trade for Halladay, they might only have him for a year.  As things stand right now, that&#8217;s true.  However, my guess is that any team that trades for Halladay will want to first negotiate a contract extension with him.  That holds true for the Cubs as well.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t mean to be too hard on Muskat.  Generally speaking she does a good (if uninspired) job reporting on all things Cubs related.  But this blurb about a possible trade for Roy Halladay just seemed to be defeatist in nature and tinged with the age-old idea that the Cubs can&#8217;t possibly acquire any of the best players in the game.</p>
<p>Moving on&#8230;<a href="http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/11/cubs-at-center-of-many-trade-rumors.html">Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune</a> writes that a trade for Curtis Granderson is still a possibility.  Detroit needs to reduce their payroll and is listening to offers for their center fielder (as well as other players).  Sullivan opines that the Cubs will not part with Carlos Marmol or Starlin Castro to obtain Granderson.  I assume he is saying this because his colleague, Phil Rogers, wrote an article saying the Cubs should offer Marmol and Castro for Granderson, but again, how does he know the Cubs will not trade either player?  Is this his opinion or did someone with the Cubs say it?</p>
<p>Sullivan also discusses rumors involving signing free agents such as Marlon Byrd, Mike Cameron, Mark DeRosa, and Matt Holliday.  Sullivan thinks that Byrd and Cameron are possibilities, but Holliday and DeRosa aren&#8217;t going to happen.  I agree with Sullivan.  Holliday is out of reach and not a good fit.  DeRosa&#8217;s time has passed.  Even though I felt strongly that trading him was the wrong thing to do at the time, bringing DeRosa back now will in no way right that wrong.</p>
<p>Let me throw out one caveat concerning DeRosa.  It would not upset me too much for the Cubs to sign him for reasonable money on a one-year contract.  I&#8217;m almost positive that he&#8217;ll get multi-year offers from other teams, but if the Cubs can re-sign him at the right price, then I think his flexibility and leadership would be a welcome addition to the Cubs.  But again, I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s going to happen.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><a href="http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/baseball/other_mlb/view.bg?articleid=1213540&amp;format=&amp;page=3&amp;listingType=mlb#articleFull">Phil Rogers has some rumors in the Boston Herald</a> and his Cubs rumor says:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Many in the Cubs’ front office think they would be foolish to give up Starlin Castro to get Curtis Granderson, but there are a lot of other ways to do the deal. General manager Jim Hendry appreciates all Granderson brings to the table, even though he has had trouble hitting left-handers in two of the last three seasons. Perhaps Granderson would benefit from working with new Cubs hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Granderson would be a good fit for the Cubs, but it is going to be difficult for them to make any deals until they know what is going to happen with Milton Bradley.  Unfortunately, Bradley not only screwed up the team during the season, but he is getting in the way of improving it in the off season.  It wouldn&#8217;t surprise me if the Cubs miss out on players like Granderson because they can&#8217;t/won&#8217;t pull the trigger on a trade or signing a free agent until the Bradley situation is settled.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><a href="http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/1895540,grabow-cubs-signing-20.article">Gordon Wiitenmyer of the Sun-Times</a> has corrected the information he originally gave concerning the two-year contract the Cubs signed with lefty John Grabow.  Originally, Wiitenmyer wrote that the contract was for a total of $7 million.  However, he now says that Garbow signed for a total of $7.5 million.</p>
<p>Wiitenmyer doesn&#8217;t say how the money is split up, but I read elsewhere that the first year is for $3.25 million and the second year is $4.25 million.  Unfortunately, I can&#8217;t find the article where I read these numbers, so take it for what it&#8217;s worth.</p>
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		<title>Curtis Granderson Rumors Heating Up</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/curtis-granderson-rumors-heating-up/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=curtis-granderson-rumors-heating-up</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Nov 2009 16:28:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Cashner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Marol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dave Dombrowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gary Hughes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hideki Matsui]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Hendry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Johnny Damon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Vitters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Juan Rivera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Angels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Castillo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melky Cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Milton Bradley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Mets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Yankees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Orlando Hudson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pat Burrell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Starlin Castro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tampa Bay Rays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Torii Hunter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=645</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A couple of days ago, I reported that the Detroit Tigers, in an attenpt to cut payroll, were listening to offers for Curtis Granderson (among others).  Jim Hendry hasn&#8217;t spoken to Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski yet, but that hasn&#8217;t stopped the Granderson-to-the-Cubs buzz.  So let me add to the insanity. If the Cubs are actually [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple of days ago, I reported that the Detroit Tigers, in an attenpt to cut payroll, were <a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/cubs-interested-in-curtis-granderson/">listening to offers for Curtis Granderson</a> (among others).  Jim Hendry hasn&#8217;t spoken to Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski yet, but that hasn&#8217;t stopped the Granderson-to-the-Cubs buzz.  So let me add to the insanity.</p>
<p>If the Cubs are actually interested in Granderson (I think they are), they are not going to be alone.  According to <a href="http://www.newsday.com//sports/yankees-could-try-to-make-deal-for-granderson-1.1585007">Ken Davidoff of Newsday</a>, both the Yankees and Angels have an eye on the Detroit center fielder.  Presumably, the Yankees would move Melky Cabrera to left to accommodate Granderson in center.  The move would also lessen the need/likelihood of the Yankees bringing back Johnny Damon, Hideki Matsui, or both.</p>
<p><span id="more-645"></span>The Angels are interested in using Granderson as a left fielder (since they already have Torii Hunter in center).  A Granderson trade by the Angels would force Juan Rivera over to right field, or off the field completely and into the DH role.</p>
<p>Regardless of the competition for Granderson, Jim Callis of Baseball America (<a href="http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2009/11/angels-tigers-discuss-granderson-trade.html">via MLBTradeRumors.com</a>) thinks the Cubs are in the best position to make a trade with Detroit.  At the moment, the Cubs have a plethora of young middle infield talent that may interest Dombrowski and the Tigers. </p>
<p>In an article from a couple of days ago, <a href="http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/11/cubs-must-go-after-granderson.html">Phil Rogers of Chicago Breaking Sports.com</a> opined that the Cubs should offer up Carlos Marmol and Starlin Castro for Granderson.  <a href="http://cubsnotebook.com/cubs-interested-in-curtis-granderson/">I disagreed with Rogers</a> as far as Castro goes, but I agreed that the Cubs should aggresively pursue Granderson.  Today, in his latest article, <a href="http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/11/angels-join-yankees-and-maybe-cubs-in-chasing-granderson.html">Rogers throws Josh Vitters and Andrew Cashner into the mix</a>. </p>
<p>One guy that I really trust on matters involving the Cubs, especially the minor leagues, is Arizona Phil at The <a href="http://thecubreporter.com/">Cub Reporter.com</a>.  Somewhat surprisingly, Arizona Phil says that he too would trade Starlin Castro for Curtis Granderson.  In comment #15, <a href="http://thecubreporter.com/2009/11/13/tcr-friday-notes#new">Arizona Phil admits that Castro is the Cubs best shortstop prospect</a>, but also says that the Cubs have other good prospects at short as well.</p>
<p>In comment #13, Arizona Phil says:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Curtis Granderson is exactly the type of speed/power combo player Jim Hendry and Gary Hughes love. If he is available, I believe Hendry will go after him, even if it costs the Cubs Starlin Castro, Andrew Cashner or Jay Jackson, and a third pre-arb auto-renewal guy (like maybe U. of Michigan alum Jake Fox?).&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I would be hesitant including Castro in a trade for Granderson.  However, generally speaking, I think you are almost always better off trading an unproven minor leaguer for a proven major leaguer.  Starlin Castro looks like he has the makings of a big league star, but how many players have looked exactly the same way in the past and have fizzled once they reached the big leagues?  Too many to count. </p>
<p>I don&#8217;t want to gut the Cubs farm system for Granderson, but one of the purposes of developing prospects is to use them as trade bait for proven big league players.  Too often, I think we as fans fall in love with the Cubs prospects and we want to make then untouchable.  However, very few guys ever make it to the big leagues with the team that drafted them.  More often than not, they make it to the big leagues with their second or third team (if they make it at all). </p>
<p> I can live with including Castro in a package for Granderson.  It would annoy me a bit, but I could live with it.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>As you may recall, in a report on ESPN Chicago radio a few days ago, Bruce Levine said that he expected the Cubs to announce a trade involving Milton Bradley.  The announcement hasn&#8217;t come yet, but I have heard an interesting rumor that actually makes some sense.</p>
<p>The oft quoted (at least in this post) Arizona Phil of The Cub Reporter threw out the possibility of the Cubs trading Bradley to Tampa Bay in exchange for Pat Burrell.  Phil believes the two teams will split Bradley&#8217;s 2011 salary.</p>
<p>Once they obtain Burrell, the Cubs will turn around and trade him to the Mets for Luis Castillo.  The Mets badly want to trade Castillo and the move will open up a spot at second base for free agent Orlando Hudson.</p>
<p>From the Cubs perspective, they&#8217;ll get rid of Bradley and the trade will allow them to add Castillo at second.  Castillo will turn 35 during the 2010 season.  He hit .302/.369/.354 in 2009 for the Mets with 1 homerun and 40 RBI. Castillo is signed through 2011 and is set to earn $6 million per year.  In 2009, Castillo had the worst fielding year of his career according to <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=513&amp;position=2B#fielding">Fangraphs</a>, with a UZR/150 rating of -12.0.</p>
<p>The Cubs are desperate to get rid of Bradley, and the fact that they may end up  with Luis Castillo shows just how desperate they are.  To be fair, it appears that most teams interested in trading for Bradley are teams that will only make a trade if the Cubs pay all/most of Bradley&#8217;s salary.  So although Castillo is not the ideal second baseman, Jim Hendry would probably be lucky to get him, if it means not having to pay too much of the $21 million still owed to Bradley.  I guess I can&#8217;t be too critical if the move helps the Cubs dump Bradley and add a piece (albeit a not very good piece) that they need (i.e. a second baseman).</p>
<p>This three-way trade is by no means perfect, but it may just be the best that the Cubs can do.  And when it comes to getting rid of Milton Bradley, that may be enough.</p>
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		<title>Cubs Interested in Curtis Granderson</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/cubs-interested-in-curtis-granderson/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=cubs-interested-in-curtis-granderson</link>
		<comments>http://cubsnotebook.com/cubs-interested-in-curtis-granderson/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2009 16:25:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Heilman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Miles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Marmol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Curtis Granderson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Darwin Barney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Derek Jeter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dontrlle Willis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iowa Cubs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jake Fox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JR Mathes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Luis Castillo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Magglio Ordonez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Micah Hoffpauir]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Fontenot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Mets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ozzie Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pat Burrell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sean Marshall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Starlin Castro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tampa Bay Rays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Texas Rangers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=640</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Detroit Tigers need to shed payroll going into the 2010 season which Joel Sherman of the New York Post says could make Tigers&#8217; center fielder Curtis Granderson available for trade.  Granderson, who had two very good years in 2007 and 2008, had a down year offensively in 2009.  He hit .249/.327/.453 in 631 ABs.  [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Detroit Tigers need to shed payroll going into the 2010 season which <a href="http://www.nypost.com/p/blogs/hardball/yankees_could_deal_for_tigers_granderson_ihbBrkhw4ntvdRpbuw2iJJ">Joel Sherman of the New York Post</a> says could make Tigers&#8217; center fielder Curtis Granderson available for trade.  Granderson, who had two very good years in 2007 and 2008, had a down year offensively in 2009.  He hit .249/.327/.453 in 631 ABs. </p>
<p>Even though his slash line took a hit in 2009, Granderson hit a career high 30 homeruns, all the more impressive since it was done while playing in Detroit&#8217;s spacious ball yard.  Granderson appears to be a &#8220;buy low&#8221; opportunity.  His trade value is down from a year or two ago, but his potential remains high.</p>
<p><span id="more-640"></span>Chicago newspaper columnists are almost giddy with excitement over the potential of the Cubs trading for Granderson. <a href="http://blogs.suntimes.com/cubs/2009/11/cubs_consider_gm_meetings_prod.html">Gordon Wittenmyer of the Sun-Times</a> was more subdued when he said &#8221; given the ideal fit provided by the Chicago-area native (i.e. Granderson), conversations between the teams appear inevitable.&#8221;  <a href="http://www.chicagobreakingsports.com/2009/11/cubs-must-go-after-granderson.html">Phil Rogers of the Tribune and ChicagoBreakingSports.com</a> was much more excited.  The headline of his article, <em>Cubs Must Go After Granderson</em>, gives you an idea of where he stands on the subject.</p>
<p>Rogers praises Granderson&#8217;s on-field play and off-field involvement in the community.  He calls Detroit &#8220;crazy&#8221; for thinking about trading him, and then becomes almost apoplectic when he says &#8220;The Cubs should do absolutely everything to get him, if he is available. There&#8217;s no debate about this.&#8221;</p>
<p>Rogers then starts the trade talks by offering up Carlos Marmol and Starlin Castro.  I&#8217;m not very high on Marmol as a closer, but at the moment, he is the only one the Cubs have.  Also, I&#8217;m not ready to annoint Castro the second coming of Derek Jeter or Ozzie Smith, but he does appear the heir to the throne at shortstop.  Is this really the price that the Cubs want to pay for Granderson?</p>
<p>Thankfully, Phil Rogers&#8217; trade offers do not obligate the Cubs in any way.  It is true that Granderson would be a good fit for the Cubs in center field.  I&#8217;m not sure where he would fit in the line up.  His numbers seem to be better suited for the middle-of-the-order than leadoff, but that&#8217;s an arguement for another day.  For now, let&#8217;s focus on what price the Cubs would have to pay to acquire Granderson.</p>
<p>First, let&#8217;s look at money.  Granderson is signed through 2012 and is owed a total of $23.75 million.  His contract also has a club option for 2013 for $13 million with a $2 million buyout.  All tolled, Granderson is guaranteed to make $25.75 million over the next four years.  He&#8217;s not cheap, but his contract is not outrageous either.</p>
<p>Next, who would the Cubs have to give up to get Granderson?  Rogers&#8217; offer of Marmol and Castro is too high.  I wouldn&#8217;t make Castro untouchable, but for this deal, I&#8217;d take him off the table.  I&#8217;d be willing to trade Marmol, but only if the Cubs have a really good idea of who is going to replace him.  As I&#8217;ve stated previously, I don&#8217;t think the Cubs should go into 2010 counting on Marmol to be their closer, but at the moment, he&#8217;s the only one they have.</p>
<p>Other names could include Jake Fox, Micah Hoffpauir, Aaron Heilman, Mike Fontenot, and Aaron Miles (if they&#8217;ll take him).  A few of these guys are non-tender candidates, but they still have value.  Sean Marshall is another valuable trade chip.  He deserves a shot as a starter somewhere, but it appears that he&#8217;s not going to get that shot with the Cubs again this year.</p>
<p>The Cubs minor leagues have some interesting trade candidates.  Darwin Barney is one guy who is proving himself in the minors, but who will likely not have a place to play when he&#8217;s ready for the big leagues in a year or two.  J.R. Mathes led the Iowa Cubs in wins last year, but doesn&#8217;t appear to have a future on the big league staff.  Rather than let him rot in Iowa (no offense to the Great State of Iowa), why not use him as trade bait.</p>
<p>These are just a few options.  I don&#8217;t know what the Tigers would want in return for Granderson other than salary relief.  The Cubs have some valuable players they can send Detroit&#8217;s way.  The important thing now is to keep Phil Rogers away from the negotiations.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>Bruce Levine of ESPN Chicago said in a radio interview that the Cubs will announce a Milton Bradley trade in the next 3-4 days.  He mentioned the Rangers, Rays, Mets and Tigers as possible trade partners for the Cubs.  </p>
<p>The Rangers are starting to not make sense to me if <a href="http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/jon_heyman/11/11/chone.figgins/index.html">Jon Heyman of Sports Illustrated</a> is correct that the Rangers would only be willing to pay $5 million of the $21 million owed to Bradley over the next two years.  The Rays also do not make sense.  If the Cubs send Bradley to Tampa Bay for Pat Burrell, they will have to turn around and trade him, likely picking up a portion of his contract.</p>
<p>The Mets don&#8217;t make sense on a couple of levels.  First, although they would like to move Luis Castillo and his remaining two years and $12 million contract, they have already said that they are not interested in Bradley.  Also, New York isn&#8217;t exactly the quiet, laid-back small market Bradley needs.   The Cubs may have interest in Castillo, but a third team would probably have to get involved for a deal to work.</p>
<p>The Tigers could be interesting on several fronts.  First, I&#8217;ve already talked about Curtis Granderson.  The Cubs could use him, but there&#8217;s no way that the Tigers trade him straight up to the Cubs for Bradley.  Might the throw in Dontrelle Willis?  He has been largely ineffective for the Tigers and he is owed $12 million in 2010.  Jim Hendry likes his reclamation projects, but D-Train is awfully expensive.  Even so, I would rather pay Willis $12 million to play for the Cubs next year than I would to pay Texas $16 million over two years for Bradley not to play for the Cubs.</p>
<p>The Tigers also have some interest in trading Magglio Ordonez.  He is owed $18 million in 2010 and he has a vesting option for 2011 for $15 million.  The 2011 option vests if he starts 135 games or gets 540 plate appearances in 2010, or he gets 270 starts or 1080 plate appearances between 2009 and 2010.</p>
<p>Ordonez can still be a dangerous hitter, but he&#8217;s becoming more of a DH than an everyday position player.  In 2009, he played right field in 104 of the 131 games in which he played.  That number will likely go down in 2010.  Plus, the Cubs would really like to move Kosuke Fukudome back to right field.  Adding Ordonez wouldn&#8217;t allow that.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know where Milton Bradley is going to end up or who the Cubs might get for him, but it will sure be nice not talking about him anymore.  It will also be nice being able to move on with the off season.</p>
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