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	<title>Cubs Notebook &#187; Kelly Johnson</title>
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		<title>A Look At The Offseason (Part 1 &#8211; Infield)</title>
		<link>http://cubsnotebook.com/a-look-at-the-offseason-part-1-infield/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=a-look-at-the-offseason-part-1-infield</link>
		<comments>http://cubsnotebook.com/a-look-at-the-offseason-part-1-infield/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 14:31:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lou</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Miles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Akinori Iwamura]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andres Blanco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andy MacPhail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aramis Ramirez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Atlanta Braves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Orioles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bobby Abreau]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Roberts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Marmol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chone Figgins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Derrek Lee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Freddie Sanchez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geovany Soto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Henry Blanco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jake Fox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Baker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Hendry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Grabow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kelly Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Millar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kosuke Fukudome]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Koyie Hill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Dodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Derosa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Micah Hoffpair]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miguel Tajada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Fontenot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Orlando Cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Orlando Hudson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Placido Polanco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ronnie Belliard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Theriot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Giants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Starlin Castro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tampa Bay Rays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Clark]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://cubsnotebook.com/?p=566</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Cubs enter the off season with a mixed bag of needs.  Tops on the list is a middle-of-the-order run producer.  If things work out, they&#8217;d also like to get a speedy, OBP-type of lead-off hitter.  They may even look at adding a bullpen arm. In the field, the Cubs would prefer to add a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Cubs enter the off season with a mixed bag of needs.  Tops on the list is a middle-of-the-order run producer.  If things work out, they&#8217;d also like to get a speedy, OBP-type of lead-off hitter.  They may even look at adding a bullpen arm.</p>
<p>In the field, the Cubs would prefer to add a center fielder and move Kosuke Fukudome back to right field.  If that center fielder is a middle-of-the-order run producer, all the better.  The team will also be looking for a second baseman, unless they can find a good shortstop, which will force Ryan Theriot over to second base.</p>
<p>The starting pitching staff is pretty well set, but the bullpen is a bit in flux.  Will John Grabow re-sign?  More importantly, do the Cubs want to enter the 2010 season with Carlos Marmol as their closer?</p>
<p>Over the next few days, I&#8217;ll take a look at the team and give my thoughts on what the Cubs brain trust should do this offseason to get ready for 2010.  Today, I&#8217;ll start with the infield.</p>
<p><span id="more-566"></span>**********</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">First Base</span></strong> &#8212; There&#8217;s little doubt who will play first base next year.  Derrek Lee will be entering the final year of his contract in 2010 and there&#8217;s no reason to believe he&#8217;s going anywhere.  However, the question of who is going to back him up is a good one.  Lee has missed playing time over the past couple of years with a pinched nerve in his neck.  If the problem flares up again, who will play first base?</p>
<p>Within the organization, Micah Hoffpauir is the first guy that comes to mind.  Jake Fox is another.  Both guys are considered &#8220;offense-first&#8221; type of players, but I think both showed this past year that they can do a credible, if unspectacular, job in the field.  Although Fox is generally considered the more potent offensive threat, they put up very similar number in 2009.  Hoffpauir bats left-handed, which may carry more weight in the decision than it should.  Fox is more versatile in the field.</p>
<p>Another option is for the Cubs to sign a fairly low dollar free agent who could back up at first base and be a dependable bat off the bench.  Someone on the back side of their career that can accept a backup role and can be an additional veteran presence.  Someone in the mold of Tony Clark or Kevin Millar comes to mind.  The knock against bringing in someone like Clark or Millar is they probably won&#8217;t put up any better numbers than Hoffpauir or Fox, but they will probably cost more.  That&#8217;s a good point.  So unless you feel that the veteran presence is that important, stick with Hoffpauir or Fox and save your money.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Second Base</span></strong> &#8212; We found out in 2009 that Mike Fontenot is not the answer to the second base question.  The Cubs also have Aaron Miles, Jeff Baker and Andres Blanco on the roster and all three can play second base.  Even so, I don&#8217;t think any of them is the answer the Cubs are looking for at second.</p>
<p>In my opinion, Aaron Miles does not have a role to play on the 2010 Cubs.  He needs to be traded or released.  I know that releasing him will cost some money, but keeping him on the team will waste a valuable roster spot.  If you can trade him, great, but be willing to release him if you have to.</p>
<p>I envision Jeff Baker playing the role of a poor man&#8217;s Mark DeRosa.  He impressed in his time with the Cubs last year and I can see him coming back in an expanded role.  I don&#8217;t foresee him as the everyday second baseman, but rather as a super sub.  He can play several positions and do a credible job at all of them.</p>
<p>Andres Blanco is an interesting player.  He&#8217;s known for his awesome defense, but what people don&#8217;t know is that his offense has improved since joining the Cubs.  My understanding is that Blanco battled injuries during the early part of his career and did not get the at-bats he so desperately needed.  Now that he is healthy, his offense is improving and is becoming a much larger part of his game.</p>
<p>Although it would not be my first choice, I could see a middle infield made up of Theriot and Blanco.  I&#8217;d prefer Blanco at short and Theriot at second, but the other way around could work as well.  In my opinion, the Cubs should only consider this if they can&#8217;t find a more suitable solution via free agency or a trade.</p>
<p>Some possible free agent targets the Cubs might consider are Chone Figgins, Orlando Hudson and Akinori Iwamura.  I&#8217;m almost certain that Figgins will be too expensive (four or five years at $10 million/year?).  Also, he&#8217;s somewhat of a hot commodity at the moment, so there will be considerable competition for him.</p>
<p>Hudson is a little more realistic, but considering that he was beaten out of his starting job with the Dodgers by Ronnie Belliard, the bloom is a bit off this rose.  Even so, Hudson put up respectable numbers in 2009 (.283/.357/.417, 9 HR, 62 RBI) and might be a good fit for the Cubs.  He&#8217;s neither the speed demon nor the middle-of-the-order run producer they want, but he&#8217;d likely do a better job than the in-house candidates.</p>
<p>Iwamura is an interesting possibility.  He&#8217;s currently with the Rays and they have an option on him for next year that will cost them $4.25 million.  The Ray are likely to opt for the buyout ($250,000) rather than pick up his option.  They have other less expense possibilities at second base, so Iwamura will likely be a free agent.</p>
<p>In 2009, Iwamura had a hitting line of .290/.355/.390 in 69 games.  Again, he&#8217;s not a speed demon or a middle-of-the-order run producer, but he could still be a nice addition to a Cubs team that had trouble getting on base this past year.</p>
<p>A couple of other free agent possibilities include Mark DeRosa and Freddie Sanchez.  I like both of these guys, but I don&#8217;t think either one makes sense.  DeRosa is going to be 35 years old and he&#8217;s coming off of wrist surgery.  He was once an integral part of the Cubs, but that ship has sailed. </p>
<p>Sanchez is an interesting possibility.  San Francisco has a club option on Sanchez for $8 million with a $600,000 buyout.  Opinion has been that the Giants will opt for the buyout, but would like to sign him for less money.  Sanchez will be 32 in 2010 and will be coming off knee surgery.  He&#8217;s expected to be 100% healthy by Spring Training.</p>
<p>I like Sanchez and he interests me if the price is right.  Problem is, I don&#8217;t think the price will be right.</p>
<p>Another interesting free agent name is Placido Polanco, who will be 34 next season.  Polanco hit .285/.331/.396 with 10 homeruns and 72 RBI for Detroit in 2009.  He&#8217;s a career .303/.348/.414 hitter, but at least initially, the market seems to be soft for him.  He made $4.6 million last year.  If he is willing to take a pay cut, he&#8217;ll be in the Cubs financial ball park.  If not, he&#8217;ll be playing for someone else next year.</p>
<p>Potential trade targets include Kelly Johnson (Atlanta) and Brian Roberts (Baltimore).  Roberts would obviously cost the Cubs much more that Johnson.  In fact, the only way Roberts could conceivably end up with the Cubs is if he is part of a package involving Milton Bradley.  I&#8217;ve pushed the idea of a Milton Bradley and others package for Roberts and Luke Scott.  I don&#8217;t know if either Jim Hendry or Orioles GM Andy MacPhail have jumped on that bandwagon yet, but I&#8217;ll keep beating the drum.</p>
<p>Johnson doesn&#8217;t seem to bring anything to the table that Baker or Blanco couldn&#8217;t provide.  He&#8217;s the type of player that Hendry has shown an interest in in the past, but I don&#8217;t think he makes sense for the Cubs.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Shortstop</span></strong> &#8212; Unless the Cubs make some sort of unexpected move, Ryan Theriot will be the starting shortstop in 2010.  Let&#8217;s face it, despite the call for an all-star caliber shortstop by many fans, Theriot has done a more than credible job during his tenure.  In 2009, he hit .284/.383/.369 with 7 homeruns and 54 RBI.  And he only made $500,000.  What a bargain.</p>
<p>Blaco is another guy that could conceivable take over short and push Theriot over to second.  Eventually, I think Starlin Castro will do this anyway, so maybe it&#8217;s a good idea to get Theriot started at second now. </p>
<p>Although I don&#8217;t expect the Cubs to bring in a shortstop via trade or free agency, there are a couple of names out there to consider.  I don&#8217;t foresee the Cubs getting in on Marco Scutaro, but there is a small chance they could take a flyer on Orlando Cabrera or Miguel Tejada.  The reason I think these two guys may be on the Cubs radar is because I expect both to still be available at the end of the offseason for a relatively bargain price (ala Bobby Abreau last year).  It wouldn&#8217;t bother me to get a veteran shortstop for a year to hold the position for Starlin Castro in 2011.  However, I don&#8217;t expect it to happen.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Third Base</span></strong> &#8212; With any luck, Aramis Ramirez will return healthy next year and will stay healthy all year.  He missed two months in 2009 with a shoulder separation and trying to fill his place in the lineup and in the field proved to be ctwo hallenges the Cubs were not up for.  So who will be Ramirez&#8217; backup in 2010?</p>
<p>Jake Fox is one internal possibility.  He&#8217;s not going to win any Gold Gloves at third, but he did a better job there than many expected.  With some additional work, he might even be credible.</p>
<p>Jeff Baker is another guy that can fill in for Ramirez.  In fact, I never did quite understand why the Cubs didn&#8217;t give Baker more playing time at third in 2009 while Ramirez was injured.  As the team&#8217;s super sub, I would call on him to fill in at third when needed.  As such, I don&#8217;t foresee and moves to bring in a backup for Ramirez.</p>
<p>************</p>
<p>Catcher &#8212; Who is the real Geovany Soto?  Did we see the real Soto in 2008 when he won NL Rookie of the Year honors and hit .285/.364/.504 with 26 homeruns and 62 RBI or was his .218/.321/381 with 11 homeruns and 47 RBI in 2009 the real Soto?  I wish I knew.  I think the Cubs feel the same way.</p>
<p>Soto&#8217;s performance in 2008 was a pleasant surprise.  His minor league numbers didn&#8217;t lead people to think he would hit as well in a full-time MLB role as he did.  Now, after his performance in 2009, people are asking whether or not 2008 was just a fluke.</p>
<p>I have little doubt that the Cubs will enter the 2010 season with Soto as their starting catcher.  However, I&#8217;m not convinced that they will stick with him for very long if he struggles at the plate the way he did in 2009.</p>
<p>The Cubs will not look to replace Soto via trade or free agency, but they may look into bringing back free agent catcher Henry Blanco to act as a mentor to Soto.  There is some thought that Soto struggled in 2009 without the same influence that Blanco provided in 2008.  Blanco will be 38 years old, so the Cubs should not expect too much out of him, but if he can play the role of mentor to Soto and give him a day off every once in a while, bringing Blanco back on a one-year deal may be a good investment.</p>
<p>Having said all of this, I think it is fair to ask, what about Koyie Hill?  Hill was a capable fill in for Soto while he was on the DL and during his offensive struggles.  He deserves to be brought back.  Unfortunately, things don&#8217;t always work out the way they should.  Since Hill is out of minor league options, he may be moved as part of a trade.</p>
<p>It would not bother me to see Hill brought back next year, but the more important issue is putting Soto in a situation where he can  succeed.  If bringing Henry Blanco back improves Soto&#8217;s chances of repeating 2008, by all means, bring Blanco back and trade Hill.</p>
<p>**********</p>
<p>That&#8217;s it for the infield.  Next, I&#8217;ll look at what needs to be done with the outfield.</p>
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